{"id":211,"date":"2026-11-03T12:16:14","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:16:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/it-news\/trendradar-2026-2035-maps-26-trends-shaping-digital-infrastructure\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T12:16:58","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:16:58","slug":"trendradar-2026-2035-maps-26-trends-shaping-digital-infrastructure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/it-news\/trendradar-2026-2035-maps-26-trends-shaping-digital-infrastructure\/","title":{"rendered":"Trendradar 2026-2035 maps 26 trends shaping digital infrastructure"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Rijksinspectie Digitale Infrastructuur (RDI), the Dutch government’s digital infrastructure inspectorate, has mapped 26 developments that will affect digital infrastructure over the next ten years. Agentic AI, AI-driven cyberattacks, supply chain attacks and the quantum threat receive the highest impact score. The inspectorate also identifies a growing resilience gap between SMEs and large enterprises.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Trendradar 2026-2035 is the fifth edition of the overview that the RDI publishes periodically. The inspectorate compiled the list together with 30 experts from industry, knowledge institutions and government bodies. The trends are divided across three themes: technology, geopolitics and society. Each trend is given an impact score (high, medium or low) and a timeframe in which the RDI expects it to peak. The inspectorate uses the radar to prioritise its own supervision, but the report is also aimed at policymakers and businesses in the digital infrastructure sector.<\/p>\n

AI on both sides of the attack<\/h3>\n

According to the RDI, since 2025 AI systems have increasingly been linked together and given a goal that they achieve largely autonomously. With the right authorisations, such agents can carry out transactions, control systems and make decisions on behalf of users. The inspectorate gives this trend a high impact over a timeframe of zero to three years. Agentic AI can also be deployed for autonomously executed ransomware attacks or to independently find and exploit vulnerabilities.<\/p>\n

The RDI states that AI lowers the threshold for cybercrime, as language models can generate attack code and automate attacks. As an example, the report cites the deployment of the LAMEHUG malware in 2025 by the Russia-linked group APT28. As a result, organisations have less time to remediate vulnerabilities. According to the inspectorate, effective defence often requires AI itself.<\/p>\n

Supply chain attacks and SMEs<\/h3>\n

State actors are increasingly carrying out attacks through third parties such as criminal groups, making it harder to identify who is behind them. Attackers are also targeting suppliers and subcontractors more often. The RDI refers to SolarWinds in 2020, the breach of file transfer software Cleo in 2024 and the exploitation of Citrix vulnerabilities in 2025. According to the report, SMEs are targeted more often than large companies, which makes attacks less visible.<\/p>\n

At the same time, the cyber resilience of SMEs is lagging behind, particularly when it comes to more complex measures such as data encryption. Because SMEs form part of critical supply chains, the inspectorate says this gap makes the entire digital infrastructure more vulnerable.<\/p>\n

Quantum and regulatory burden<\/h3>\n

The RDI warns of ‘harvest now, decrypt later’: state actors are storing encrypted communications now in order to decrypt them later using quantum computers. The inspectorate urges organisations to start the transition to post-quantum cryptography now, even without a legal obligation. That transition takes time and sometimes requires new hardware, especially for systems with a long lifespan.<\/p>\n

In the area of legislation, the RDI identifies a balancing act. The accumulation of the GDPR, NIS2, DORA, the Data Act and the AI Act makes compliance complex and costly, particularly for smaller organisations. The EU is focusing on simplification, but according to the report this could result in risks being less well covered. An unpredictable legislator also makes it harder to anticipate which requirements businesses will have to meet.<\/p>\n

Availability less of a given<\/h3>\n

The Netherlands currently achieves availability of more than 99.98 per cent for critical infrastructure. The RDI expects that, due to hybrid threats, the emphasis will shift from continuous availability to the ability to absorb disruptions. According to the report, additional pressure comes from the rising energy and water consumption of data centres and AI, and from the persistent shortage of ICT professionals. Because AI mainly takes over junior work, the inspectorate expects that, in the long term, fewer people will progress to senior roles.<\/p>\n

The full report can be read via Trendradar 2026-2035<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Dutch RDI maps 26 trends affecting digital infrastructure up to 2035. AI-driven attacks, supply chain attacks and the resilience gap at SMEs receive particular attention.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"mspb_bron_id":1169547,"mspb_url_nl":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/algemeen\/trendradar-2026-2035-brengt-26-trends-voor-digitale-infrastructuur-in-kaart\/","mspb_url_de":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/de\/it-nachrichten\/trendradar-2026-2035-erfasst-26-trends-fuer-die-digitale-infrastruktur\/","mspb_url_en":"","mspb_beeld_url":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/hero-1793704560977.png","mspb_beeld_klein":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/hero-1793704560977.png","mspb_auteur":"Redactie","mspb_beeld_alt":"","mspb_video":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"The Dutch RDI's Trendradar 2026-2035 outlines 26 trends, from agentic AI and the quantum threat to supply chain attacks and the SME resilience gap.","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"layout":[6],"class_list":["post-211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-it-news","layout-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=211"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":212,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211\/revisions\/212"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=211"},{"taxonomy":"layout","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mspbusiness.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/layout?post=211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}